Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

Latest Nanos weekly federal political tracking

Jun 02, 2026

The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party.

Public attention continues to centre on economic conditions. Concern over jobs and the broader economy has risen to 24.1%, reinforcing its position as the most cited national issue. Inflation and international relations follow at a distance, while healthcare has declined in salience and housing-related concerns have eased slightly.

Taken together, the results suggest a largely stable political landscape, with the focus on the leading parties and a narrowing gap. Economic pressures remain the dominant influence on public sentiment.

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KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Please note that paid subscribers have access to detailed Nanos data in our portal including accessible voters, and impressions related to each federal party leader and whether they have the qualities of a good political leader.

Ballot –The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 40.3 per cent, the Conservatives at 32.8 the NDP at 13.2 per cent, the Bloc at 6.6 per cent, the Green Party at 5.1 per cent and the Peoples Party at 1.5 per cent.

Nanos Party Power Index – The Nanos Index which is a composite of a series of measures including ballot and leadership impressions has the Liberals at 59.9 points, followed by the Conservatives at 47.3 points, the NDP with 37.5 points, the Greens 30.2 points, the People’s Party 23.4 points and the BQ 36.6 points (QC only).

Preferred Prime Minister – Nanos tracking has Carney as the preferred choice as PM at 47.3 per cent of Canadians followed by Poilievre (25.1%), Lewis (6.4%), May (3.7%), Blanchet (2.4%), and Bernier (1.3%). Fourteen per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.

Visit the live Nanos data portal where you can dynamically chart ballot, preferred PM and Nanos Index numbers by region, gender and age. The methodology for the weekly tracking is posted here. PDFs of the polling reports are on the Nanos website.

For this report and other Nanos data points visit www.nanos.co.

METHODOLOGY

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The respondents are recruited from a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone sample of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over.

The random sample of 1,028 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Current data is for the four week period ending May 29, 2026.

A random survey of 1,028 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.

Since voters are not actually able to make a choice between elections, it is interesting to think about party strength and support more broadly. The Nanos Party Power Index fills this need by incorporating more information than just current vote preference.

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