Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Latest Nanos weekly federal political tracking

Economic concerns continue to dominate the public mood, though with less intensity. Mentions of jobs and the economy have eased from 24.2% to 21.0%, while inflation has risen from 10.8% to 13.4%, suggesting a shift in emphasis rather than a reversal of priorities. Healthcare (7.2%) and immigration (4.7%) have also inched upward, even as housing concerns have declined from 5.7% to 3.9%.

The electoral picture, however, remains steady. The Liberals lead with 42.3% support, well ahead of the Conservatives at 29.4%, hitting a support low not seen since November of 2022, with the NDP (13.1%), Bloc (6.7%), Greens (6.0%) and People’s Party (2.0%) trail behind.

Taken together, the data point to a landscape marked by gradual shifts in economic concern, particularly around inflation, alongside a durable Liberal advantage and limited movement in the broader party standings.

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KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Please note that paid subscribers have access to detailed Nanos data in our portal including accessible voters, and impressions related to each federal party leader and whether they have the qualities of a good political leader.

Ballot –The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 42.3 per cent, the Conservatives at 29.4 the NDP at 13.1 per cent, the Bloc at 6.7 per cent, the Green Party at 6.0 per cent and the Peoples Party at 2.0 per cent.

Nanos Party Power Index – The Nanos Index which is a composite of a series of measures including ballot and leadership impressions has the Liberals at 61.3 points, followed by the Conservatives at 45.7 points, the NDP with 38.5 points, the Greens 30.6 points, the People’s Party 24.0 points and the BQ 36.9 points (QC only).

Preferred Prime Minister – Nanos tracking has Carney as the preferred choice as PM at 48.8 per cent of Canadians followed by Poilievre (22.6%), Lewis (6.7%), May (4.1%), Blanchet (2.5%), and Bernier (1.3%). Fourteen per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.

Visit the live Nanos data portal where you can dynamically chart ballot, preferred PM and Nanos Index numbers by region, gender and age. The methodology for the weekly tracking is posted here. PDFs of the polling reports are on the Nanos website.

For this report and other Nanos data points visit www.nanos.co.

METHODOLOGY

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The respondents are recruited from a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone sample of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over.

The random sample of 1,023 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Current data is for the four week period ending June 5, 2026.

A random survey of 1,023 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.

Since voters are not actually able to make a choice between elections, it is interesting to think about party strength and support more broadly. The Nanos Party Power Index fills this need by incorporating more information than just current vote preference.

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